+- A sheep, a werewolf and a walrus walk into a bar. (https://forumofgames.com)
+-- Forum: Forum Games (https://forumofgames.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1)
+--- Forum: Sheep etc. (https://forumofgames.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=7)
+--- Thread: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 (/showthread.php?tid=209)
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
Up to 17 players
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Leg End Reject - 01-12-2021
18 now!
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Mam of 4 - 01-12-2021
Just curious, E.N. can you remember how many players last year?
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 02:40 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote: Just curious, E.N. can you remember how many players last year?47 last year! I looked recently.
Shame, I suspect it might be similar if boards hadn't migrated
Up to 20 now though, so still doing well
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
So far we have...
| aaronjennings | davetherave | lorcand1990 | nothing |
| ari101 | DvB | Loughc | Quickbeam |
| Barna77 | Homer J. Fong | Mam of 4 | Sawduck |
| BuileBeag | Kol | Necro | ShaneU |
| Butty Brennan | Leg End Reject | Neowise | Trigger |
...and cee_jay ruining my table
So here's a friendly nudge/harassment for @DejaBoo ,@Wichita Lineman @Zaph @Toto Wolfcastle @Rachel Stevens on a Pogo Stick @Edser @EEFGGFEDCCDEEDD @Irish Aris @jp liz v1 @Mollyb60 @osh @Spears @Sephiroth_Dude
If you read this and I didn't mention you - sorry! You're very, very welcome
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - RSOAPS - 01-12-2021
I must politely decline this year sadly.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Spears - 01-12-2021
& i'm in the race!
![[Image: giphy.gif]](https://media.giphy.com/media/137MDVkGCzkZvW/giphy.gif)
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - DejaBoo - 01-12-2021
Hmm, I didn't go with my gut answer- doubt this will bode well for my ultimate goal to be winning SantySheep in charge of the Naughty Ba-a-a-a and Nice list this year.
Ah well, wooden spoons are good too - back to Elf chores for me...
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
Up to 25 now, the harassment worked
Still plenty of time, will take entries until 9pm. That was just a nudge in case anyone missed it
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Trigger - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 02:40 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote: Just curious, E.N. can you remember how many players last year?Curious my arse.. checking for %'s eh?
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Leg End Reject - 01-12-2021
I've pimped this out over yonder again with a link to this thread. I'll be banned for spamming or FoG added to the censor list.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 04:43 PM)Leg End Reject Wrote: I've pimped this out over yonder again with a link to this thread. I'll be banned for spamming or FoG added to the censor list.Cheers Leggy - if you get banned I'll write you a letter of support
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Mam of 4 - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 04:01 PM)Trigger Wrote:(01-12-2021, 02:40 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote: Just curious, E.N. can you remember how many players last year?Curious my arse.. checking for %'s eh?
Lol you caught me out , I said I'd ask innocently for the rest of ye that actually know what to do with the percentage, as I wouldn't have a fecking clue
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - lorcand1990 - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 05:17 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote:Wait, hang on.. is there actually some sort of tactic that can be used here with the %? I'm using the 'randomly guess' method(01-12-2021, 04:01 PM)Trigger Wrote: Curious my arse.. checking for %'s eh?
Lol you caught me out , I said I'd ask innocently for the rest of ye that actually know what to do with the percentage, as I wouldn't have a fecking clue
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - quickbeam - 01-12-2021
Are percentages rounded to the nearest 10% btw?
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 05:52 PM)quickbeam Wrote: Are percentages rounded to the nearest 10% btw?I only realised today I needed to sort this
No - I'll calculate scores exactly then round them to the nearest 1%
And while we're clarifying rules - if you miss any day you'll score 10% more than the highest score that day.
But if you know you won't be online drop me a PM in advance and I can send you the question
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - quickbeam - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 05:47 PM)lorcand1990 Wrote:(01-12-2021, 05:17 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote: Lol you caught me out , I said I'd ask innocently for the rest of ye that actually know what to do with the percentage, as I wouldn't have a fecking clueWait, hang on.. is there actually some sort of tactic that can be used here with the %? I'm using the 'randomly guess' method
Now that EN has clarified, my strategy is that if I answer Yes, then my percentage is at least 1% and if I answer No, my percentage is at most 99%. Beyond that, it's pining a tail on a donkey for me but at least I've narrowed my range down a bit.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Trigger - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 05:47 PM)lorcand1990 Wrote:(01-12-2021, 05:17 PM)Mam of 4 Wrote: Lol you caught me out , I said I'd ask innocently for the rest of ye that actually know what to do with the percentage, as I wouldn't have a fecking clueWait, hang on.. is there actually some sort of tactic that can be used here with the %? I'm using the 'randomly guess' method
Yes...
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 02:59 PM)E.N. Wrote: So far we have...
aaronjennings davetherave lorcand1990 nothing ari101 DvB Loughc Quickbeam Barna77 Homer J. Fong Mam of 4 Sawduck BuileBeag Kol Necro ShaneU Butty Brennan Leg End Reject Neowise Trigger
...and cee_jay ruining my table
DejaBoo, Zaph, Toto Wolfcastle, Irish Aris, jp liz v1, Spears and Sephiroth_Dude have brought us to 28
I have to surrender the work laptop to Mrs EN now (the joys of juggling two of us working) but hopefully I'll have it back for the reveal at 9!
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - lorcand1990 - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 06:30 PM)Trigger Wrote:Oh so that's how it is, eh?(01-12-2021, 05:47 PM)lorcand1990 Wrote: Wait, hang on.. is there actually some sort of tactic that can be used here with the %? I'm using the 'randomly guess' method
Yes...
![[Image: 1045169.jpg?b64lines=CiBJIGFpbid0IHNheWluZyBub3RoaW4n]](https://frinkiac.com/meme/S13E22/1045169.jpg?b64lines=CiBJIGFpbid0IHNheWluZyBub3RoaW4n)
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Leg End Reject - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 06:39 PM)lorcand1990 Wrote:Ask yourself how many normal people would say yes out of the total number of players, then go with the opposite.(01-12-2021, 06:30 PM)Trigger Wrote: Yes...Oh so that's how it is, eh?
So if 15 out of 20 normal people would be expected to say yes, that's 75%.
As we're not normal say 25% would say yes.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - BuileBeag - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 06:52 PM)Leg End Reject Wrote: Ask yourself how many normal people would say yes out of the total number of players, then go with the opposite.
So if 15 out of 20 normal people would be expected to say yes, that's 75%.
As we're not normal say 25% would say yes.
How dare you!!!
![[Image: willem-dafoe.gif]](https://c.tenor.com/2Wiim-hFVvgAAAAM/willem-dafoe.gif)
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Neowise - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 06:00 PM)quickbeam Wrote:(01-12-2021, 05:47 PM)lorcand1990 Wrote: Wait, hang on.. is there actually some sort of tactic that can be used here with the %? I'm using the 'randomly guess' method
Now that EN has clarified, my strategy is that if I answer Yes, then my percentage is at least 1% and if I answer No, my percentage is at most 99%. Beyond that, it's pining a tail on a donkey for me but at least I've narrowed my range down a bit.
well, if the is 20 of us, that percentage increases to 5% and 95%.
I doubt we will get to 100 entrants, where your 1% and 99% would ring true.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Neowise - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 08:06 PM)Neowise Wrote:(01-12-2021, 06:00 PM)quickbeam Wrote: Now that EN has clarified, my strategy is that if I answer Yes, then my percentage is at least 1% and if I answer No, my percentage is at most 99%. Beyond that, it's pining a tail on a donkey for me but at least I've narrowed my range down a bit.
well, if the is 20 of us, that percentage increases to 5% and 95%.
I doubt we will get to 100 entrants, where your 1% and 99% would ring true.
oh, i see there is 28 now, so more like 3% and 97%.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
Edser brings us to 29 players
So each player's answer is worth 3.4482758621%
Just in case that helps your calcs
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Trigger - 01-12-2021
Booooooooooo
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 08:12 PM)Trigger Wrote: BoooooooooooNo, they're saying "Boo-Edser"
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Edser - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 08:14 PM)E.N. Wrote:(01-12-2021, 08:12 PM)Trigger Wrote: BoooooooooooNo, they're saying "Boo-Edser"
Sorry. Need a couple more now
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Trigger - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 08:14 PM)E.N. Wrote:No, edser is great, it's more you giving away percentages(01-12-2021, 08:12 PM)Trigger Wrote: BoooooooooooNo, they're saying "Boo-Edser"
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - quickbeam - 01-12-2021
(01-12-2021, 08:06 PM)Neowise Wrote: well, if the is 20 of us, that percentage increases to 5% and 95%.
I doubt we will get to 100 entrants, where your 1% and 99% would ring true.
Hence ‘at least 1%’ and ‘at most 99%’
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Sephiroth_Dude - 01-12-2021
Popcorn and all ready
![[Image: cat-popcorn.gif]](https://c.tenor.com/fXwWkypUHHkAAAAC/cat-popcorn.gif)
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
Sorry, reveal will be late. Munchkin bedtime going to shit
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
OK, one handed reveal on the phone with a 3yr old asleep in my arms, easy
The correct answer today was 75.9%
That's 22 out of 29 of you who have started...
| YES | NO |
| aaronjennings | davetherave |
| ari101 | DejaBoo |
| Barna77 | Irish Aris |
| BuileBeag | Loughc |
| Butty Brennan | Quickbeam |
| cee_jay | Sephiroth_Dude |
| DvB | Spears |
| Edser | |
| Homer J. Fong | |
| jp liz v1 | |
| Kol | |
| Leg End Reject | |
| lorcand1990 | |
| Mam of 4 | |
| Necro | |
| Neowise | |
| nothing | |
| Sawduck | |
| ShaneU | |
| Toto Wolfcastle | |
| Trigger | |
| Zaph |
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
And we have a big spread of scores already...
| Player | Answer | Guess | Score |
| Sephiroth_Dude | No | 15% | 61 |
| davetherave | No | 35% | 41 |
| Toto Wolfcastle | Yes | 35% | 41 |
| Barna77 | Yes | 40% | 36 |
| Spears | No | 40% | 36 |
| Butty Brennan | Yes | 42% | 34 |
| DvB | Yes | 50% | 26 |
| aaronjennings | Yes | 50% | 26 |
| Kol | Yes | 59% | 17 |
| nothing | Yes | 60% | 16 |
| Loughc | No | 60% | 16 |
| ari101 | Yes | 60% | 16 |
| Irish Aris | No | 60% | 16 |
| DejaBoo | No | 60% | 16 |
| BuileBeag | Yes | 65% | 11 |
| Zaph | Yes | 65% | 11 |
| Mam of 4 | Yes | 67% | 9 |
| Neowise | Yes | 67% | 9 |
| lorcand1990 | Yes | 70% | 6 |
| cee_jay | Yes | 70% | 6 |
| Edser | Yes | 70% | 6 |
| Homer J. Fong | Yes | 75% | 1 |
| jp liz v1 | Yes | 75% | 1 |
| Quickbeam | No | 80% | 4 |
| Necro | Yes | 80% | 4 |
| Sawduck | Yes | 80% | 4 |
| Leg End Reject | Yes | 80% | 4 |
| ShaneU | Yes | 85% | 9 |
| Trigger | Yes | 92% | 16 |
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Toto Wolfcastle - 01-12-2021
Jaysus.
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - E.N. - 01-12-2021
So Homer and Liz set the early pace
Sephi had some ground to make up
Dave hasn't brought his sheep/peehs game over!
Still all too play for of course
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - nothing - 01-12-2021
I've mine finished!
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - aaronjennings - 01-12-2021
Wow, and I was thinking 50% might be too high
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - DejaBoo - 01-12-2021
75% ya say? (colour me
shocked) - all dat "bahhumbug wait till december to get yer christmas knickers on," indeed! ---ah now, yer all a bunch of christmas looooovers, you are! Get thee to the Christmas thread and celebrate, y'all
RE: Fogies sheepish Advent Calendar 2021 - Leg End Reject - 01-12-2021
FFS, I changed from 75% to 80%!